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Saturday, September 06, 2008 - 9:32 AM
If Homo sapiens can stick it out on Earth for
another two billion years, our descendants may witness quite a show in
the night sky. Researchers estimate that the Milky Way will collide
with its nearest neighbor, the Andromeda galaxy, at around that
time—well before the sun collapses into a white dwarf, perhaps
destroying the Earth in the process.http://ljsheehan.blogspot.comThis close encounter of the galactic kind could easily kick our
solar system to the farthest reaches of the galaxy, and there is a
small chance we might even take up residence in Andromeda, according to
astronomers T. J. Cox and Abraham Loeb of the Harvard-Smithsonian
Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Mass.
The pair simulated the collision by estimating the relative
speed between the two galaxies and the amount of gas and dark matter in
the intervening space, which exerts a drag on their motions.
Andromeda is currently 2.3 million light-years from our galaxy.
Researchers know that the two neighbors are approaching each other at
120 kilometers per second, but they are far less certain of Andromeda's
sideways speed. If moving fast enough to the side, it would miss us
entirely.
"I think it's very likely they will come together," Loeb says.
"The issue is, will it be [in] three billion years, five billion years
or 10 billion years?"
Taking their cue from the latest models of the galaxies'
structures, Cox and Loeb assumed a relatively small sideways motion.
Based on this assumption, Andromeda would first graze the Milky Way two
billion years from now, they report in a paper submitted to the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. The two galactic cores would orbit each other for another three billion years before merging.
During that time, the stars making up the two spiral galaxies
would slowly coalesce into a more elliptical combo galaxy, "Milkomeda"
(or the Andromedy Way, if you prefer). Although most of the stars would
be too sparsely spaced to bump together, one galaxy's gravity would
jostle the other's stars.http://ljsheehan.blogspot.com The fate of the sun, which is expected to last at least until
the simulated merger, would depend on where it was in its 24,000
light-year-wide orbit around the galactic core. The researchers
estimate that by the time the cores had fused, the solar system would
have a 50 percent chance of being swept to a wispy tail extending from
Milkomeda, three times further out from galactic center than it is now.
Cox and Loeb also find a 3 percent chance of the sun being
nudged into orbit around Andromeda when the two galaxies first collide.
Of course, they note, different assumptions for the simulation would
likely result in different outcomes.http://ljsheehan.blogspot.com "What's cool about this," says astronomer Gregory Laughlin of
the University of California in Santa Cruz, "is they track a reasonable
orbit for the sun … and sort of give a plausible range of scenarios for
what the solar system might encounter. … It's fun to speculate on this
stuff."
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